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Red49
803232.9
292718.1
558817.2
Blue65
805119.7
83039.2
635020.8
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6045020801001204965

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
Teleop+18
Endgame+16
Fouls+16
AutonomousRed +3
3Leave6
1Coral scored#0
6Coral points0
9Total auto6
TeleoperatedBlue +21
7Coral scored#9
24Coral points31
1Processor algae#2
1Net algae#3
6Processor points12
4Net points12
10Algae points24
34Total teleop55
Reef
2L4#4
3L3#2
2L2#1
1L1 · trough#2
10Game pieces#14
BargeRed +2
6Cage & park4
6Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +16
0Foul points0
49Total score65

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8032
#22
32.90.5
24.223.7
Auto6.4
Teleop18.8
End7.7
red by 12.1
6350
#14
20.81.4
14.916.3
Auto3.7
Teleop12.7
End4.4
Second
2927
#26
18.10.5
15.615.1
Auto3.8
Teleop11.0
End3.4
blue by 1.6
8051
#20
19.72.3
18.120.4
Auto5.4
Teleop11.6
End2.7
Third
5588
#24
17.20.5
16.716.2
Auto7.6
Teleop7.3
End2.2
red by 8.0
8303
#32
9.22.3
11.413.7
Auto2.9
Teleop5.5
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
60%Auto oddsMissed44%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed9%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
66%Barge oddsMissed12%Barge oddsMissed