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Red98
468236.3
451238.4
292718.1
Blue59
944620.6
635020.8
803232.9
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions806020401001201401609859

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+49Teleop
+39Endgame
+39Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
0Leave9
3Coral scored#0
16Coral points0
16Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +42
13Coral scored#4
48Coral points16
1Processor algae#0
3Net algae#2
6Processor points0
12Net points8
18Algae points8
66Total teleop24
Reef
8L4#2
3L3#1
3L2#1
2L1 · trough#0
20Game pieces#6
BargeBlue +10
16Cage & park26
16Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +39
0Foul points0
98Total score59

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
38.41.7
28.930.6
Auto8.4
Teleop28.4
End1.6
red by 5.5
8032
#22
32.90.0
23.723.7
Auto6.4
Teleop18.8
End7.7
Second
36.31.7
28.830.5
Auto8.5
Teleop26.0
End1.7
red by 15.4
6350
#14
20.80.0
16.316.3
Auto3.7
Teleop12.7
End4.4
Third
2927
#26
18.11.7
15.116.8
Auto3.8
Teleop11.0
End3.4
blue by 2.4
9446
#30
20.60.0
19.019.0
Auto3.6
Teleop14.4
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
50%Auto oddsEarned28%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
17%Barge oddsEarned51%Barge oddsEarned