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Red118
177878.9
889616.4
903637.7
Blue140
446952.7
558817.2
252257.2
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions123129100140160180118140

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+21
Teleop+22
Endgame+22
Fouls+22
AutonomousBlue +21
3Leave3
4Coral scored#8
20Coral points41
23Total auto44
TeleoperatedBlue +1
20Coral scored#19
73Coral points68
1Processor algae#2
4Net algae#4
6Processor points12
16Net points16
22Algae points28
95Total teleop96
Reef
10L4#13
7L3#6
4L2#4
3L1 · trough#4
29Game pieces#33
Bargelevel
0Cage & park0
0Total endgame0
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +22
0Foul points0
118Total score140

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
78.90.1
76.476.5
Auto19.1
Teleop58.3
End1.4
red by 21.7
57.21.1
56.157.2
Auto17.2
Teleop38.2
End1.7
Second
9036
#15
37.70.1
26.226.3
Auto5.1
Teleop31.7
End1.0
blue by 15.0
52.71.1
50.751.8
Auto13.5
Teleop37.1
End2.1
Third
8896
#28
16.40.1
14.214.3
Auto2.8
Teleop12.0
End1.6
blue by 0.8
5588
#24
17.21.1
16.217.3
Auto7.6
Teleop7.3
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
78%Auto oddsMissed94%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
44%Coral oddsMissed38%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
21%Barge oddsMissed40%Barge oddsMissed