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Red131
1007938.7
94843.6
408939.9
Blue113
594123.8
321843.4
457917.3
96%Model gave it4%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13472050100150200131113

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+17Auto
+10Teleop
+20Endgame
+18Fouls
AutonomousRed +17
9Leave3
6Coral scored#3
28Coral points17
37Total auto20
TeleoperatedBlue +7
14Coral scored#16
50Coral points57
2Processor algae#2
4Net algae#4
12Processor points12
16Net points16
28Algae points28
78Total teleop85
Reef
8L4#6
5L3#7
3L2#4
4L1 · trough#2
26Game pieces#25
BargeRed +10
16Cage & park6
16Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +18
0Foul points2
131Total score113

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
948
#9
43.60.9
44.945.8
Auto7.1
Teleop29.3
End7.2
red by 0.2
3218
#10
43.42.6
39.542.1
Auto12.1
Teleop29.8
End1.6
Second
39.90.9
36.337.2
Auto8.4
Teleop29.1
End2.4
red by 16.1
5941
#19
23.82.6
20.423.0
Auto8.2
Teleop12.3
End3.3
Third
38.70.9
36.137.0
Auto13.6
Teleop23.9
End1.1
red by 21.4
4579
#34
17.34.0
12.116.2
Auto1.6
Teleop14.7
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
86%Auto oddsEarned82%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
10%Coral oddsMissed7%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
73%Barge oddsEarned17%Barge oddsMissed