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Red95
889616.4
803232.9
451238.4
Blue100
903637.7
468236.3
339316.1
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions72715060809010095100

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
Teleop+13
Endgame+5
Fouls+5
Autonomouslevel
9Leave0
1Coral scored#2
3Coral points12
12Total auto12
TeleoperatedBlue +13
14Coral scored#15
51Coral points54
1Processor algae#2
3Net algae#4
6Processor points12
12Net points16
18Algae points28
69Total teleop82
Reef
8L4#6
4L3#6
2L2#2
1L1 · trough#3
19Game pieces#23
BargeRed +8
14Cage & park6
14Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +5
0Foul points0
95Total score100

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
38.41.8
30.632.4
Auto8.4
Teleop28.4
End1.6
red by 0.7
9036
#15
37.72.0
26.328.3
Auto5.1
Teleop31.7
End1.0
Second
8032
#22
32.91.8
23.725.5
Auto6.4
Teleop18.8
End7.7
blue by 3.4
36.32.0
30.532.5
Auto8.5
Teleop26.0
End1.7
Third
8896
#28
16.42.7
14.317.0
Auto2.8
Teleop12.0
End1.6
red by 0.3
3393
#21
16.12.0
12.614.7
Auto2.0
Teleop12.1
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
34%Auto oddsEarned55%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
64%Barge oddsEarned18%Barge oddsMissed