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Red98
408939.9
292916.0
446952.7
Blue39
558817.2
326817.6
805119.7
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1264701001502009839

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+10Auto
+47Teleop
+47Endgame
+59Fouls
AutonomousRed +10
6Leave3
3Coral scored#2
17Coral points10
23Total auto13
TeleoperatedRed +37
13Coral scored#4
45Coral points14
1Processor algae#0
2Net algae#2
6Processor points0
8Net points8
14Algae points8
59Total teleop22
Reef
7L4#2
3L3#2
4L2#1
2L1 · trough#1
19Game pieces#8
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +59
12Foul points0
98Total score39

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
52.71.7
52.250.5
Auto13.5
Teleop37.1
End2.1
red by 33.0
8051
#20
19.71.9
21.019.1
Auto5.4
Teleop11.6
End2.7
Second
39.91.7
37.235.5
Auto8.4
Teleop29.1
End2.4
red by 22.3
3268
#33
17.61.3
18.817.5
Auto6.9
Teleop10.9
End-0.2
Third
2929
#13
16.01.7
19.317.6
Auto4.2
Teleop10.2
End1.6
blue by 1.2
5588
#24
17.21.3
15.814.5
Auto7.6
Teleop7.3
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
80%Auto oddsEarned79%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
12%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
34%Barge oddsEarned11%Barge oddsMissed