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Red114
491138.0
903637.7
94914.5
Blue88
594123.8
1007938.7
803232.9
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions659120408010012014016011488

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+22
+36Teleop
+26Endgame
+26Fouls
AutonomousBlue +22
9Leave3
1Coral scored#6
3Coral points31
12Total auto34
TeleoperatedRed +58
13Coral scored#8
46Coral points28
3Processor algae#1
8Net algae#1
18Processor points6
32Net points4
50Algae points10
96Total teleop38
Reef
5L4#6
4L3#4
2L2#3
3L1 · trough#1
25Game pieces#16
BargeBlue +10
6Cage & park16
6Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +26
0Foul points0
114Total score88

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4911
#16
38.03.0
29.132.1
Auto4.2
Teleop30.8
End3.0
blue by 0.7
38.70.0
37.037.0
Auto13.6
Teleop23.9
End1.1
Second
9036
#15
37.73.0
28.331.3
Auto5.1
Teleop31.7
End1.0
red by 4.8
8032
#22
32.90.0
25.525.5
Auto6.4
Teleop18.8
End7.7
Third
949
#25
14.53.0
8.711.7
Auto3.3
Teleop9.1
End2.0
blue by 9.3
5941
#19
23.80.0
23.022.9
Auto8.2
Teleop12.3
End3.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
21%Auto oddsEarned92%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
12%Barge oddsMissed60%Barge oddsEarned