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Red147
635020.8
593737.5
252257.2
Blue109
944620.6
451238.4
290623.7
88%Model gave it12%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1177750100150200147109

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
+28Teleop
+32Endgame
+38Fouls
AutonomousRed +3
6Leave0
4Coral scored#5
20Coral points23
26Total auto23
TeleoperatedRed +25
21Coral scored#18
77Coral points66
2Processor algae#1
5Net algae#3
12Processor points6
20Net points12
32Algae points18
109Total teleop84
Reef
7L4#9
10L3#6
4L2#4
4L1 · trough#4
32Game pieces#27
BargeRed +4
6Cage & park2
6Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +38
6Foul points0
147Total score109

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
57.21.8
57.259.0
Auto17.2
Teleop38.2
End1.7
red by 18.7
38.41.5
32.433.9
Auto8.4
Teleop28.4
End1.6
Second
5937
#12
37.51.8
29.631.3
Auto3.5
Teleop28.6
End5.4
red by 13.8
2906
#29
23.71.5
23.224.7
Auto4.6
Teleop18.0
End1.1
Third
6350
#14
20.81.8
16.518.2
Auto3.7
Teleop12.7
End4.4
red by 0.3
9446
#30
20.61.5
19.220.8
Auto3.6
Teleop14.4
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
67%Auto oddsEarned46%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
24%Coral oddsEarned6%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
37%Barge oddsMissed39%Barge oddsMissed