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Red50
339316.1
198324.0
83039.2
Blue105
1045524.4
94843.6
889616.4
9%Model gave it91%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4696015050105

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
Teleop+37
Endgame+49
Fouls+55
AutonomousBlue +3
0Leave3
2Coral scored#2
12Coral points12
12Total auto15
TeleoperatedBlue +34
8Coral scored#15
28Coral points54
1Processor algae#1
0Net algae#2
6Processor points6
0Net points8
6Algae points14
34Total teleop68
Reef
4L4#4
2L3#6
2L2#3
2L1 · trough#4
11Game pieces#20
BargeBlue +12
4Cage & park16
4Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +55
0Foul points6
50Total score105

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1983
#31
24.00.0
26.826.8
Auto6.1
Teleop17.3
End0.6
blue by 19.6
948
#9
43.60.9
45.846.7
Auto7.1
Teleop29.3
End7.2
Second
3393
#21
16.10.0
14.714.6
Auto2.0
Teleop12.1
End2.0
blue by 8.3
24.40.9
22.823.7
Auto4.5
Teleop17.2
End2.8
Third
8303
#32
9.20.0
8.98.9
Auto2.9
Teleop5.5
End0.7
blue by 7.2
8896
#28
16.41.3
17.018.3
Auto2.8
Teleop12.0
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
48%Auto oddsEarned52%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
5%Barge oddsMissed72%Barge oddsEarned