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Red49
297622.1
830214.9
457917.3
Blue140
321843.4
468236.3
746125.2
9%Model gave it91%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6010805015020049140

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+14
Teleop+89
Endgame+91
Fouls+91
AutonomousBlue +14
9Leave9
1Coral scored#4
4Coral points18
13Total auto27
TeleoperatedBlue +75
6Coral scored#26
20Coral points93
1Processor algae#2
2Net algae#1
6Processor points12
8Net points4
14Algae points16
34Total teleop109
Reef
3L4#14
2L3#7
1L2#3
1L1 · trough#6
10Game pieces#33
BargeBlue +2
2Cage & park4
2Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +91
0Foul points0
49Total score140

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2976
#23
22.11.1
23.522.3
Auto6.4
Teleop14.1
End1.6
blue by 21.3
3218
#10
43.42.6
42.144.7
Auto12.1
Teleop29.8
End1.6
Second
4579
#34
17.31.6
16.214.5
Auto1.6
Teleop14.7
End1.0
blue by 19.0
36.32.6
32.535.1
Auto8.5
Teleop26.0
End1.7
Third
8302
#18
14.91.6
18.116.5
Auto4.2
Teleop8.0
End2.8
blue by 10.3
25.22.6
18.220.7
Auto5.4
Teleop18.1
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
35%Auto oddsMissed95%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed7%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
23%Barge oddsMissed20%Barge oddsMissed