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Red80
746125.2
805119.7
177878.9
Blue45
339316.1
290623.7
491138.0
98%Model gave it2%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions123652040801001401601808045

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+13Auto
+33Teleop
+35Endgame
+35Fouls
AutonomousRed +13
0Leave3
3Coral scored#0
16Coral points0
16Total auto3
TeleoperatedRed +20
13Coral scored#7
48Coral points24
1Processor algae#1
1Net algae#2
6Processor points6
4Net points8
10Algae points14
58Total teleop38
Reef
4L4#2
6L3#2
4L2#2
2L1 · trough#1
18Game pieces#10
BargeRed +2
6Cage & park4
6Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +35
0Foul points0
80Total score45

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
78.92.1
70.868.7
Auto19.1
Teleop58.3
End1.4
red by 41.0
4911
#16
38.01.6
31.229.6
Auto4.2
Teleop30.8
End3.0
Second
25.22.1
19.217.1
Auto5.4
Teleop18.1
End1.6
red by 1.6
2906
#29
23.71.6
22.721.1
Auto4.6
Teleop18.0
End1.1
Third
8051
#20
19.73.4
21.017.6
Auto5.4
Teleop11.6
End2.7
red by 3.6
3393
#21
16.11.6
14.813.2
Auto2.0
Teleop12.1
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
91%Auto oddsEarned21%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
32%Coral oddsMissed7%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
24%Barge oddsMissed22%Barge oddsMissed