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Red71
594123.8
558817.2
944620.6
Blue61
803232.9
326817.6
94914.5
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions483802060801001207161

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
Teleop+2
Endgame+2
+10Fouls
Autonomouslevel
3Leave9
3Coral scored#1
13Coral points7
16Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +2
9Coral scored#8
33Coral points27
0Processor algae#2
2Net algae#1
0Processor points12
8Net points4
8Algae points16
41Total teleop43
Reef
5L4#4
3L3#3
3L2#1
1L1 · trough#1
14Game pieces#12
Bargelevel
2Cage & park2
2Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +10
12Foul points0
71Total score61

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5941
#19
23.80.9
16.217.1
Auto8.2
Teleop12.3
End3.3
blue by 9.1
8032
#22
32.91.6
17.519.1
Auto6.4
Teleop18.8
End7.7
Second
9446
#30
20.60.9
16.817.6
Auto3.6
Teleop14.4
End2.6
red by 2.9
3268
#33
17.61.6
9.511.0
Auto6.9
Teleop10.9
End-0.2
Third
5588
#24
17.20.9
13.013.8
Auto7.6
Teleop7.3
End2.2
red by 2.7
949
#25
14.51.6
10.211.8
Auto3.3
Teleop9.1
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
83%Auto oddsEarned26%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
24%Barge oddsEarned33%Barge oddsMissed