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Red132
252257.2
292916.0
903637.7
Blue109
1007938.7
830214.9
446952.7
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions831114060100120140160180200132109

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
+35Teleop
+23Endgame
+23Fouls
AutonomousBlue +3
6Leave9
3Coral scored#3
14Coral points14
20Total auto23
TeleoperatedRed +38
19Coral scored#14
68Coral points50
2Processor algae#2
7Net algae#2
12Processor points12
28Net points8
40Algae points20
108Total teleop70
Reef
9L4#7
5L3#3
4L2#4
4L1 · trough#3
31Game pieces#21
BargeBlue +12
4Cage & park16
4Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +23
0Foul points0
132Total score109

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
57.23.5
41.945.4
Auto17.2
Teleop38.2
End1.7
red by 4.5
52.70.5
48.649.1
Auto13.5
Teleop37.1
End2.1
Second
9036
#15
37.73.5
24.427.8
Auto5.1
Teleop31.7
End1.0
blue by 0.9
38.70.5
30.230.7
Auto13.6
Teleop23.9
End1.1
Third
2929
#13
16.03.5
13.917.3
Auto4.2
Teleop10.2
End1.6
red by 1.0
8302
#18
14.90.9
22.223.1
Auto4.2
Teleop8.0
End2.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
77%Auto oddsMissed74%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
17%Coral oddsMissed11%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
12%Barge oddsMissed38%Barge oddsEarned