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Red81
594123.8
94914.5
635020.8
Blue119
1045524.4
408939.9
451238.4
5%Model gave it95%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions48108015081119

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+10
Teleop+50
Endgame+38
Fouls+38
AutonomousBlue +10
3Leave6
3Coral scored#4
13Coral points20
16Total auto26
TeleoperatedBlue +40
10Coral scored#21
37Coral points77
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#2
6Processor points6
8Net points8
14Algae points14
51Total teleop91
Reef
6L4#9
4L3#8
1L2#4
2L1 · trough#4
16Game pieces#28
BargeRed +12
14Cage & park2
14Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +38
0Foul points0
81Total score119

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5941
#19
23.81.9
22.924.8
Auto8.2
Teleop12.3
End3.3
blue by 16.1
39.91.7
35.537.3
Auto8.4
Teleop29.1
End2.4
Second
6350
#14
20.81.9
18.220.1
Auto3.7
Teleop12.7
End4.4
blue by 17.6
38.41.7
33.935.6
Auto8.4
Teleop28.4
End1.6
Third
949
#25
14.51.9
11.713.6
Auto3.3
Teleop9.1
End2.0
blue by 10.0
24.41.7
23.725.4
Auto4.5
Teleop17.2
End2.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
57%Auto oddsEarned75%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed17%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
20%Barge oddsEarned69%Barge oddsMissed