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Red125
903637.7
326817.6
204667.6
Blue50
593737.5
457917.3
83039.2
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13550010015020012550

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+27Auto
+77Teleop
+75Endgame
+75Fouls
AutonomousRed +27
3Leave3
6Coral scored#1
30Coral points3
33Total auto6
TeleoperatedRed +50
19Coral scored#9
70Coral points34
1Processor algae#0
3Net algae#1
6Processor points0
12Net points4
18Algae points4
88Total teleop38
Reef
11L4#3
7L3#3
5L2#2
2L1 · trough#2
29Game pieces#11
BargeBlue +2
4Cage & park6
4Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +75
0Foul points0
125Total score50

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
67.60.6
67.067.6
Auto14.8
Teleop47.1
End5.7
red by 30.2
5937
#12
37.50.3
31.331.0
Auto3.5
Teleop28.6
End5.4
Second
9036
#15
37.70.6
31.332.0
Auto5.1
Teleop31.7
End1.0
red by 20.5
4579
#34
17.30.4
14.514.1
Auto1.6
Teleop14.7
End1.0
Third
3268
#33
17.60.6
17.518.1
Auto6.9
Teleop10.9
End-0.2
red by 8.5
8303
#32
9.20.4
8.98.4
Auto2.9
Teleop5.5
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
81%Auto oddsEarned20%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
12%Coral oddsEarned5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
17%Barge oddsMissed10%Barge oddsMissed