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Red147
558817.2
94843.6
468236.3
Blue90
290330.4
746125.2
290623.7
82%Model gave it18%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1047520406012014016018014790

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+21Auto
+45Teleop
+57Endgame
+57Fouls
AutonomousRed +21
6Leave0
5Coral scored#2
24Coral points9
30Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +24
21Coral scored#14
77Coral points49
2Processor algae#2
3Net algae#4
12Processor points12
12Net points16
24Algae points28
101Total teleop77
Reef
9L4#5
9L3#5
4L2#3
4L1 · trough#3
31Game pieces#22
BargeRed +12
16Cage & park4
16Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +57
0Foul points0
147Total score90

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
948
#9
43.63.4
46.750.0
Auto7.1
Teleop29.3
End7.2
red by 13.2
2903
#27
30.41.0
29.230.2
Auto4.1
Teleop19.9
End6.4
Second
36.33.4
35.138.5
Auto8.5
Teleop26.0
End1.7
red by 11.1
25.21.0
20.721.8
Auto5.4
Teleop18.1
End1.6
Third
5588
#24
17.23.4
14.517.9
Auto7.6
Teleop7.3
End2.2
blue by 6.5
2906
#29
23.71.0
24.725.7
Auto4.6
Teleop18.0
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
87%Auto oddsEarned61%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
3%Coral oddsEarned3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
56%Barge oddsEarned59%Barge oddsMissed