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Red102
198324.0
321843.4
889616.4
Blue180
830214.9
177878.9
803232.9
11%Model gave it89%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9513750150200102180

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+10
Teleop+68
Endgame+70
Fouls+78
AutonomousBlue +10
6Leave3
4Coral scored#7
20Coral points33
26Total auto36
TeleoperatedBlue +58
14Coral scored#23
52Coral points84
1Processor algae#4
4Net algae#6
6Processor points24
16Net points24
22Algae points48
74Total teleop132
Reef
8L4#14
4L3#9
3L2#4
3L1 · trough#3
23Game pieces#40
BargeBlue +2
2Cage & park4
2Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +78
0Foul points8
102Total score180

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3218
#10
43.40.1
44.744.6
Auto12.1
Teleop29.8
End1.6
blue by 35.5
78.92.6
76.779.3
Auto19.1
Teleop58.3
End1.4
Second
1983
#31
24.00.1
26.826.6
Auto6.1
Teleop17.3
End0.6
blue by 8.9
8032
#22
32.92.6
25.528.1
Auto6.4
Teleop18.8
End7.7
Third
8896
#28
16.40.2
18.318.1
Auto2.8
Teleop12.0
End1.6
red by 1.5
8302
#18
14.93.5
16.520.0
Auto4.2
Teleop8.0
End2.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
70%Auto oddsEarned84%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed43%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
15%Barge oddsMissed71%Barge oddsMissed