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Red107
339316.1
252257.2
594123.8
Blue31
297622.1
292718.1
292916.0
96%Model gave it4%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11056010015010731

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+18Auto
+58Teleop
+70Endgame
+76Fouls
AutonomousRed +18
3Leave6
5Coral scored#1
27Coral points6
30Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +40
12Coral scored#3
43Coral points11
0Processor algae#0
3Net algae#1
0Processor points0
12Net points4
12Algae points4
55Total teleop15
Reef
7L4#1
5L3#1
4L2#1
1L1 · trough#1
20Game pieces#5
BargeRed +12
16Cage & park4
16Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +76
6Foul points0
107Total score31

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
57.20.2
59.059.2
Auto17.2
Teleop38.2
End1.7
red by 35.0
2976
#23
22.11.8
22.320.5
Auto6.4
Teleop14.1
End1.6
Second
5941
#19
23.80.2
24.825.0
Auto8.2
Teleop12.3
End3.3
red by 5.6
2927
#26
18.11.8
18.817.0
Auto3.8
Teleop11.0
End3.4
Third
3393
#21
16.10.2
14.614.8
Auto2.0
Teleop12.1
End2.0
red by 0.1
2929
#13
16.01.8
17.415.5
Auto4.2
Teleop10.2
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
92%Auto oddsEarned55%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
23%Coral oddsEarned3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
26%Barge oddsEarned11%Barge oddsMissed