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Red79
1045524.4
468236.3
457917.3
Blue76
558817.2
491138.0
451238.4
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions80920501502007976

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+14
+1Teleop
+3Endgame
+3Fouls
AutonomousBlue +14
6Leave0
1Coral scored#5
3Coral points23
9Total auto23
TeleoperatedRed +15
10Coral scored#11
36Coral points39
2Processor algae#1
4Net algae#1
12Processor points6
16Net points4
28Algae points10
64Total teleop49
Reef
3L4#6
4L3#5
3L2#2
1L1 · trough#3
17Game pieces#18
BargeRed +2
6Cage & park4
6Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +3
0Foul points0
79Total score76

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
36.30.1
38.538.5
Auto8.5
Teleop26.0
End1.7
blue by 2.2
38.40.7
35.634.9
Auto8.4
Teleop28.4
End1.6
Second
24.40.1
25.425.5
Auto4.5
Teleop17.2
End2.8
blue by 13.5
4911
#16
38.00.7
32.631.9
Auto4.2
Teleop30.8
End3.0
Third
4579
#34
17.30.1
14.114.2
Auto1.6
Teleop14.7
End1.0
red by 0.1
5588
#24
17.20.7
17.917.2
Auto7.6
Teleop7.3
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
38%Auto oddsMissed67%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed17%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
20%Barge oddsMissed21%Barge oddsMissed