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Red123
252257.2
297622.1
746125.2
Blue102
198324.0
803232.9
593737.5
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11593406080100140160180123102

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+14Auto
+25Teleop
+15Endgame
+21Fouls
AutonomousRed +14
9Leave0
4Coral scored#3
21Coral points16
30Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +11
12Coral scored#14
43Coral points50
3Processor algae#2
6Net algae#3
18Processor points12
24Net points12
42Algae points24
85Total teleop74
Reef
7L4#6
2L3#5
4L2#3
3L1 · trough#3
25Game pieces#22
BargeBlue +10
2Cage & park12
2Total endgame12
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +21
6Foul points0
123Total score102

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
57.21.0
59.260.2
Auto17.2
Teleop38.2
End1.7
red by 19.7
5937
#12
37.51.1
31.032.1
Auto3.5
Teleop28.6
End5.4
Second
25.21.0
21.822.8
Auto5.4
Teleop18.1
End1.6
blue by 7.7
8032
#22
32.91.1
28.129.2
Auto6.4
Teleop18.8
End7.7
Third
2976
#23
22.11.0
20.521.5
Auto6.4
Teleop14.1
End1.6
blue by 1.9
1983
#31
24.01.1
26.627.7
Auto6.1
Teleop17.3
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
91%Auto oddsEarned53%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
34%Coral oddsEarned5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
19%Barge oddsMissed48%Barge oddsMissed