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Red99
446952.7
339316.1
94914.5
Blue89
903637.7
321843.4
94843.6
3%Model gave it97%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions80145501002002509989

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+14
+8Teleop
+12Endgame
+10Fouls
AutonomousBlue +14
6Leave0
2Coral scored#6
10Coral points30
16Total auto30
TeleoperatedRed +22
15Coral scored#9
55Coral points31
1Processor algae#2
4Net algae#3
6Processor points12
16Net points12
22Algae points24
77Total teleop55
Reef
6L4#5
6L3#5
3L2#3
2L1 · trough#2
22Game pieces#20
BargeRed +4
6Cage & park2
6Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +10
0Foul points2
99Total score89

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
52.71.3
50.952.2
Auto13.5
Teleop37.1
End2.1
red by 9.1
948
#9
43.62.6
50.047.4
Auto7.1
Teleop29.3
End7.2
Second
3393
#21
16.11.3
14.816.1
Auto2.0
Teleop12.1
End2.0
blue by 27.3
3218
#10
43.42.6
44.641.9
Auto12.1
Teleop29.8
End1.6
Third
949
#25
14.51.3
13.614.9
Auto3.3
Teleop9.1
End2.0
blue by 23.3
9036
#15
37.72.6
32.029.3
Auto5.1
Teleop31.7
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
67%Auto oddsEarned77%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed12%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
28%Barge oddsMissed48%Barge oddsMissed