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Qual 672025 PNW District Bonney Lake Event
Red30
94843.6
198324.0
830214.9
Blue78
491138.0
635020.8
292916.0
89%Model gave it11%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions108670501502003078

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
Teleop+42
Endgame+54
Fouls+48
AutonomousBlue +3
6Leave3
1Coral scored#2
3Coral points9
9Total auto12
TeleoperatedBlue +39
3Coral scored#9
11Coral points34
0Processor algae#2
0Net algae#1
0Processor points12
0Net points4
0Algae points16
11Total teleop50
Reef
1L4#5
1L3#2
1L2#2
1L1 · trough#2
4Game pieces#14
BargeBlue +12
4Cage & park16
4Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +48
6Foul points0
30Total score78

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
948
#9
43.64.8
47.4→42.7
Auto7.1
Teleop29.3
End7.2
red by 5.6
4911
#16
38.00.7
31.9→32.6
Auto4.2
Teleop30.8
End3.0
Second
1983
#31
24.04.8
27.7→23.0
Auto6.1
Teleop17.3
End0.6
red by 3.2
6350
#14
20.80.7
20.3→21.0
Auto3.7
Teleop12.7
End4.4
Third
8302
#18
14.95.3
20.2→14.9
Auto4.2
Teleop8.0
End2.8
blue by 1.0
2929
#13
16.00.7
15.5→16.2
Auto4.2
Teleop10.2
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
82%Auto oddsEarned42%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
10%Coral oddsMissed7%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
54%Barge oddsMissed13%Barge oddsEarned