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Red61
446948.5
903639.5
56839.9
Blue48
418011.2
298010.9
198326.4
87%Model gave it13%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions147690501002002503006148

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+2Auto
+11Teleop
+13Endgame
+13Fouls
AutonomousRed +2
9Leave6
1Coral scored#1
3Coral points4
12Total auto10
TeleoperatedRed +9
10Coral scored#7
37Coral points24
1Processor algae#1
0Net algae#1
6Processor points6
0Net points4
6Algae points10
43Total teleop34
Reef
5L4#3
3L3#2
2L2#2
1L1 · trough#1
12Game pieces#10
BargeRed +2
6Cage & park4
6Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +13
0Foul points0
61Total score48

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4469
#13
48.54.0
62.158.0
Auto12.8
Teleop34.6
End1.1
red by 22.1
1983
#25
26.41.5
31.429.9
Auto5.1
Teleop22.4
End-1.1
Second
39.54.0
47.643.6
Auto4.9
Teleop33.1
End1.6
red by 28.3
4180
#27
11.21.5
20.318.7
Auto4.2
Teleop5.8
End1.1
Third
5683
#22
9.94.0
11.47.4
Auto2.6
Teleop8.0
End-0.7
blue by 1.0
2980
#26
10.91.5
19.518.0
Auto3.0
Teleop6.9
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
80%Auto oddsEarned46%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
33%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
26%Barge oddsMissed16%Barge oddsEarned