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Red148
36054.3
558813.2
491553.1
Blue162
357429.8
291087.2
593738.7
12%Model gave it88%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions14422350100200250300350148162

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+11Auto
+2Teleop
Endgame+8
Fouls+14
AutonomousRed +11
3Leave3
8Coral scored#6
41Coral points30
44Total auto33
TeleoperatedBlue +9
19Coral scored#21
70Coral points77
2Processor algae#3
4Net algae#3
12Processor points18
16Net points12
28Algae points30
98Total teleop107
Reef
9L4#9
9L3#9
5L2#7
4L1 · trough#2
33Game pieces#33
BargeBlue +10
6Cage & park16
6Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +14
0Foul points6
148Total score162

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
360
#17
54.30.1
59.959.8
Auto16.1
Teleop35.5
End2.7
blue by 32.9
87.22.5
98.596.0
Auto22.8
Teleop56.1
End8.2
Second
53.10.1
58.858.6
Auto15.8
Teleop30.0
End7.3
red by 14.4
5937
#16
38.72.5
50.948.4
Auto2.0
Teleop31.9
End4.9
Third
5588
#24
13.20.1
17.217.0
Auto6.7
Teleop6.3
End0.2
blue by 16.6
3574
#15
29.82.5
30.427.9
Auto3.6
Teleop22.3
End3.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
96%Auto oddsEarned88%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
61%Coral oddsMissed93%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
63%Barge oddsMissed98%Barge oddsEarned