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Red95
824815.9
378625.4
451256.4
Blue81
321917.4
469231.7
252240.7
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1211221001401609581

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
Teleop+12
Endgame+16
+14Fouls
Autonomouslevel
0Leave9
5Coral scored#3
23Coral points14
23Total auto23
TeleoperatedBlue +12
10Coral scored#10
36Coral points36
1Processor algae#1
0Net algae#3
6Processor points6
0Net points12
6Algae points18
42Total teleop54
Reef
5L4#3
5L3#5
3L2#4
2L1 · trough#1
16Game pieces#17
BargeBlue +4
0Cage & park4
0Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +14
30Foul points0
95Total score81

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
56.43.0
60.757.7
Auto18.1
Teleop37.4
End0.9
red by 15.7
2522
#12
40.71.5
46.645.1
Auto12.0
Teleop23.8
End4.9
Second
3786
#19
25.43.0
30.227.2
Auto5.6
Teleop18.0
End1.7
blue by 6.3
4692
#20
31.71.5
32.030.6
Auto6.8
Teleop24.3
End0.5
Third
8248
#18
15.93.0
19.716.7
Auto4.5
Teleop9.4
End2.1
blue by 1.5
3219
#21
17.41.5
24.222.7
Auto5.3
Teleop8.4
End3.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
86%Auto oddsMissed86%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
28%Coral oddsMissed14%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
68%Barge oddsMissed68%Barge oddsMissed