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Red133
36054.3
746110.0
902358.7
Blue77
56839.9
321917.4
204651.4
92%Model gave it8%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1709205015020025013377

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+17Auto
+52Teleop
+54Endgame
+56Fouls
AutonomousRed +17
3Leave9
8Coral scored#4
41Coral points18
44Total auto27
TeleoperatedRed +35
18Coral scored#11
65Coral points38
1Processor algae#1
3Net algae#1
6Processor points6
12Net points4
18Algae points10
83Total teleop48
Reef
7L4#4
7L3#5
5L2#4
7L1 · trough#2
30Game pieces#17
BargeRed +2
4Cage & park2
4Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +56
2Foul points0
133Total score77

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
58.71.0
64.563.5
Auto15.2
Teleop41.8
End1.7
red by 7.3
51.40.5
55.254.7
Auto14.2
Teleop35.2
End1.9
Second
360
#17
54.31.0
58.157.1
Auto16.1
Teleop35.5
End2.7
red by 36.9
3219
#21
17.40.5
21.020.5
Auto5.3
Teleop8.4
End3.6
Third
7461
#14
10.01.0
17.916.8
Auto4.5
Teleop5.2
End0.3
red by 0.1
5683
#22
9.90.5
2.92.4
Auto2.6
Teleop8.0
End-0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
92%Auto oddsEarned87%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
75%Coral oddsMissed7%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
37%Barge oddsMissed46%Barge oddsMissed