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Red137
241261.8
469231.7
903639.5
Blue49
593738.7
298010.9
94917.8
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1536905010020025013749

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+20Auto
+56Teleop
+70Endgame
+88Fouls
AutonomousRed +20
6Leave6
4Coral scored#0
20Coral points0
26Total auto6
TeleoperatedRed +36
15Coral scored#6
53Coral points23
2Processor algae#1
3Net algae#3
12Processor points6
12Net points12
24Algae points18
77Total teleop41
Reef
5L4#3
5L3#1
5L2#1
4L1 · trough#1
24Game pieces#10
BargeRed +14
16Cage & park2
16Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +88
18Foul points0
137Total score49

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
61.80.5
56.455.9
Auto13.1
Teleop38.0
End10.8
red by 23.1
5937
#16
38.71.4
44.843.4
Auto2.0
Teleop31.9
End4.9
Second
39.50.5
41.340.8
Auto4.9
Teleop33.1
End1.6
red by 21.7
949
#11
17.81.4
11.09.6
Auto2.3
Teleop14.2
End1.3
Third
4692
#20
31.70.5
28.828.3
Auto6.8
Teleop24.3
End0.5
red by 20.7
2980
#26
10.91.4
14.312.9
Auto3.0
Teleop6.9
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
87%Auto oddsEarned35%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
32%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
35%Barge oddsEarned35%Barge oddsMissed