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Red85
469231.7
491553.1
593738.7
Blue75
357429.8
378625.4
12949.2
98%Model gave it2%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1595101002002508575

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
+8Teleop
+10Endgame
+10Fouls
AutonomousRed +3
3Leave9
3Coral scored#1
16Coral points7
19Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +5
11Coral scored#12
38Coral points43
1Processor algae#0
4Net algae#3
6Processor points0
16Net points12
22Algae points12
60Total teleop55
Reef
4L4#5
4L3#4
3L2#3
3L1 · trough#1
19Game pieces#16
BargeRed +2
6Cage & park4
6Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +10
0Foul points0
85Total score75

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
53.13.0
58.255.2
Auto15.8
Teleop30.0
End7.3
red by 23.3
3574
#15
29.80.9
25.826.6
Auto3.6
Teleop22.3
End3.9
Second
5937
#16
38.73.0
43.440.4
Auto2.0
Teleop31.9
End4.9
red by 13.4
3786
#19
25.40.9
25.926.7
Auto5.6
Teleop18.0
End1.7
Third
4692
#20
31.73.0
28.325.3
Auto6.8
Teleop24.3
End0.5
red by 22.5
1294
#23
9.20.9
10.511.4
Auto4.1
Teleop3.5
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
92%Auto oddsEarned61%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
27%Coral oddsMissed7%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
64%Barge oddsMissed41%Barge oddsMissed