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Red107
252240.7
94917.8
902358.7
Blue75
298010.9
293049.7
805127.3
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13510005015020010775

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+22Teleop
+20Endgame
+32Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
3Leave6
8Coral scored#6
41Coral points31
44Total auto37
TeleoperatedRed +15
9Coral scored#7
33Coral points24
1Processor algae#0
2Net algae#2
6Processor points0
8Net points8
14Algae points8
47Total teleop32
Reef
8L4#6
5L3#3
3L2#3
1L1 · trough#1
20Game pieces#15
BargeBlue +2
4Cage & park6
4Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +32
12Foul points0
107Total score75

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
58.71.4
63.562.1
Auto15.2
Teleop41.8
End1.7
red by 9.0
49.71.2
50.148.9
Auto17.0
Teleop26.2
End6.5
Second
2522
#12
40.71.4
42.641.2
Auto12.0
Teleop23.8
End4.9
red by 13.4
8051
#10
27.31.2
30.028.8
Auto7.9
Teleop14.8
End4.6
Third
949
#11
17.81.4
9.68.2
Auto2.3
Teleop14.2
End1.3
red by 6.9
2980
#26
10.91.2
12.911.7
Auto3.0
Teleop6.9
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
84%Auto oddsEarned83%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
54%Coral oddsMissed14%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
29%Barge oddsEarned65%Barge oddsMissed