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Red131
241261.8
378625.4
593738.7
Blue109
204651.4
357429.8
824815.9
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions14110450200131109

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+10
+2Teleop
+22Endgame
+22Fouls
AutonomousBlue +10
6Leave9
2Coral scored#3
10Coral points17
16Total auto26
TeleoperatedRed +12
20Coral scored#16
73Coral points59
1Processor algae#2
3Net algae#2
6Processor points12
12Net points8
18Algae points20
91Total teleop79
Reef
9L4#7
7L3#5
4L2#4
2L1 · trough#3
26Game pieces#23
BargeRed +20
24Cage & park4
24Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +22
0Foul points0
131Total score109

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
61.80.5
56.156.6
Auto13.1
Teleop38.0
End10.8
red by 10.5
51.41.1
52.753.8
Auto14.2
Teleop35.2
End1.9
Second
5937
#16
38.70.5
40.440.9
Auto2.0
Teleop31.9
End4.9
red by 8.9
3574
#15
29.81.1
26.627.7
Auto3.6
Teleop22.3
End3.9
Third
3786
#19
25.40.5
26.727.3
Auto5.6
Teleop18.0
End1.7
red by 9.5
8248
#18
15.91.1
12.914.1
Auto4.5
Teleop9.4
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
75%Auto oddsEarned86%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
23%Coral oddsMissed17%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
77%Barge oddsEarned64%Barge oddsMissed