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Red102
469231.7
298010.9
198326.4
Blue126
491553.1
902358.7
252240.7
1%Model gave it99%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions551910100150250300102126

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
Teleop+4
Endgame+12
Fouls+24
AutonomousBlue +7
0Leave9
5Coral scored#4
23Coral points21
23Total auto30
TeleoperatedRed +3
15Coral scored#14
53Coral points50
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#2
6Processor points6
8Net points8
14Algae points14
67Total teleop64
Reef
7L4#4
4L3#6
6L2#4
3L1 · trough#4
23Game pieces#21
BargeBlue +8
6Cage & park14
6Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +24
6Foul points18
102Total score126

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4692
#20
31.72.0
25.327.3
Auto6.8
Teleop24.3
End0.5
blue by 27.0
58.73.4
62.158.7
Auto15.2
Teleop41.8
End1.7
Second
1983
#25
26.42.0
29.231.1
Auto5.1
Teleop22.4
End-1.1
blue by 26.7
53.13.4
55.251.9
Auto15.8
Teleop30.0
End7.3
Third
2980
#26
10.92.0
11.713.7
Auto3.0
Teleop6.9
End1.0
blue by 29.8
2522
#12
40.73.4
41.237.8
Auto12.0
Teleop23.8
End4.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
56%Auto oddsEarned97%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed88%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
5%Barge oddsMissed69%Barge oddsEarned