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Red77
418011.2
36054.3
94827.0
Blue98
491553.1
903639.5
378625.4
38%Model gave it62%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1041270501502002503007798

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
Teleop+5
Endgame+15
Fouls+21
AutonomousBlue +3
3Leave3
3Coral scored#4
17Coral points20
20Total auto23
TeleoperatedBlue +2
11Coral scored#9
39Coral points33
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#4
6Processor points6
8Net points16
14Algae points22
53Total teleop55
Reef
5L4#4
4L3#4
2L2#3
3L1 · trough#2
17Game pieces#18
BargeBlue +10
4Cage & park14
4Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +21
0Foul points6
77Total score98

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
360
#17
54.31.3
53.552.2
Auto16.1
Teleop35.5
End2.7
red by 1.2
53.11.5
51.249.7
Auto15.8
Teleop30.0
End7.3
Second
948
#6
27.01.3
27.726.4
Auto5.3
Teleop19.5
End2.2
blue by 12.5
39.51.5
37.636.1
Auto4.9
Teleop33.1
End1.6
Third
4180
#27
11.21.3
15.414.1
Auto4.2
Teleop5.8
End1.1
blue by 14.2
3786
#19
25.41.5
26.124.6
Auto5.6
Teleop18.0
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
70%Auto oddsMissed73%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
10%Coral oddsMissed27%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
51%Barge oddsMissed29%Barge oddsEarned