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Red108
198326.4
593738.7
446948.5
Blue111
321917.4
241261.8
805127.3
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions138101050150200250108111

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+8
+11Teleop
Endgame+1
Fouls+3
AutonomousBlue +8
0Leave9
4Coral scored#4
19Coral points18
19Total auto27
TeleoperatedRed +19
16Coral scored#14
59Coral points52
3Processor algae#1
2Net algae#2
18Processor points6
8Net points8
26Algae points14
85Total teleop66
Reef
9L4#7
6L3#3
2L2#5
3L1 · trough#3
25Game pieces#21
BargeBlue +12
4Cage & park16
4Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +3
0Foul points2
108Total score111

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4469
#13
48.50.8
49.849.0
Auto12.8
Teleop34.6
End1.1
blue by 13.3
61.80.7
56.657.3
Auto13.1
Teleop38.0
End10.8
Second
5937
#16
38.70.8
39.238.4
Auto2.0
Teleop31.9
End4.9
red by 11.4
8051
#10
27.30.7
23.924.6
Auto7.9
Teleop14.8
End4.6
Third
1983
#25
26.40.8
31.230.4
Auto5.1
Teleop22.4
End-1.1
red by 9.0
3219
#21
17.40.7
18.218.9
Auto5.3
Teleop8.4
End3.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
88%Auto oddsEarned93%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
14%Coral oddsMissed7%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
42%Barge oddsMissed85%Barge oddsEarned