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Red138
824815.9
291087.2
94917.8
Blue137
56839.9
451256.4
469231.7
89%Model gave it11%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13980050100150200138137

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+14
Teleop+9
+7Endgame
+1Fouls
AutonomousBlue +14
0Leave0
5Coral scored#7
23Coral points37
23Total auto37
TeleoperatedRed +5
20Coral scored#18
71Coral points66
2Processor algae#2
4Net algae#4
12Processor points12
16Net points16
28Algae points28
99Total teleop94
Reef
9L4#11
7L3#8
5L2#3
4L1 · trough#3
31Game pieces#31
BargeRed +16
16Cage & park0
16Total endgame0
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +1
0Foul points6
138Total score137

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
87.20.7
93.594.1
Auto22.8
Teleop56.1
End8.2
red by 30.8
56.42.5
49.151.6
Auto18.1
Teleop37.4
End0.9
Second
949
#11
17.80.7
9.510.2
Auto2.3
Teleop14.2
End1.3
blue by 13.9
4692
#20
31.72.5
28.931.4
Auto6.8
Teleop24.3
End0.5
Third
8248
#18
15.90.7
13.614.3
Auto4.5
Teleop9.4
End2.1
red by 6.0
5683
#22
9.92.5
4.77.2
Auto2.6
Teleop8.0
End-0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
89%Auto oddsEarned81%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
41%Coral oddsEarned4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
81%Barge oddsEarned8%Barge oddsMissed