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Red118
252240.7
94827.0
293049.7
Blue122
378625.4
204651.4
36054.3
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1271486080100140160180200118122

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+14
Teleop+6
+8Endgame
Fouls+4
AutonomousBlue +14
6Leave0
3Coral scored#7
17Coral points37
23Total auto37
TeleoperatedRed +8
15Coral scored#16
55Coral points57
2Processor algae#1
3Net algae#2
12Processor points6
12Net points8
24Algae points14
79Total teleop71
Reef
9L4#12
3L3#3
3L2#4
3L1 · trough#4
23Game pieces#26
BargeRed +14
16Cage & park2
16Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +4
0Foul points12
118Total score122

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
49.70.4
48.649.0
Auto17.0
Teleop26.2
End6.5
blue by 4.6
360
#17
54.31.6
55.153.5
Auto16.1
Teleop35.5
End2.7
Second
2522
#12
40.70.4
36.737.0
Auto12.0
Teleop23.8
End4.9
blue by 10.7
51.41.6
50.649.0
Auto14.2
Teleop35.2
End1.9
Third
948
#6
27.00.4
27.427.7
Auto5.3
Teleop19.5
End2.2
red by 1.6
3786
#19
25.41.6
27.726.1
Auto5.6
Teleop18.0
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
93%Auto oddsEarned77%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
41%Coral oddsMissed18%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
82%Barge oddsEarned24%Barge oddsMissed