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Red47
357429.8
558813.2
746110.0
Blue65
298010.9
12949.2
902358.7
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions419601502004765

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+11
Teleop+22
Endgame+18
Fouls+18
AutonomousBlue +11
6Leave0
1Coral scored#5
6Coral points23
12Total auto23
TeleoperatedBlue +11
5Coral scored#8
19Coral points30
1Processor algae#1
1Net algae#1
6Processor points6
4Net points4
10Algae points10
29Total teleop40
Reef
2L4#3
2L3#5
1L2#3
1L1 · trough#2
8Game pieces#15
BargeRed +4
6Cage & park2
6Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +18
0Foul points0
47Total score65

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3574
#15
29.80.1
25.825.7
Auto3.6
Teleop22.3
End3.9
blue by 28.9
58.71.1
59.258.1
Auto15.2
Teleop41.8
End1.7
Second
5588
#24
13.20.1
11.811.7
Auto6.7
Teleop6.3
End0.2
red by 2.2
2980
#26
10.91.1
13.712.6
Auto3.0
Teleop6.9
End1.0
Third
7461
#14
10.00.1
11.611.4
Auto4.5
Teleop5.2
End0.3
red by 0.9
1294
#23
9.21.1
8.77.6
Auto4.1
Teleop3.5
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
81%Auto oddsEarned80%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed21%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
13%Barge oddsMissed22%Barge oddsMissed