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Red110
252240.7
198326.4
293049.7
Blue121
291087.2
746110.0
469231.7
22%Model gave it78%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12215850100200250110121

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+13
Teleop+23
Endgame+11
Fouls+11
AutonomousBlue +13
0Leave6
4Coral scored#5
20Coral points27
20Total auto33
TeleoperatedBlue +10
16Coral scored#14
56Coral points50
1Processor algae#3
3Net algae#4
6Processor points18
12Net points16
18Algae points34
74Total teleop84
Reef
8L4#7
5L3#5
4L2#4
3L1 · trough#3
24Game pieces#26
BargeRed +12
16Cage & park4
16Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +11
0Foul points0
110Total score121

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
49.70.6
49.048.4
Auto17.0
Teleop26.2
End6.5
blue by 37.5
87.21.3
94.192.9
Auto22.8
Teleop56.1
End8.2
Second
2522
#12
40.70.6
37.036.4
Auto12.0
Teleop23.8
End4.9
red by 9.0
4692
#20
31.71.3
31.430.1
Auto6.8
Teleop24.3
End0.5
Third
1983
#25
26.40.6
30.429.8
Auto5.1
Teleop22.4
End-1.1
red by 16.4
7461
#14
10.01.3
11.410.2
Auto4.5
Teleop5.2
End0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
90%Auto oddsMissed95%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
23%Coral oddsMissed55%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
61%Barge oddsEarned57%Barge oddsMissed