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Red89
241261.8
12949.2
558813.2
Blue65
418011.2
593738.7
824815.9
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions81672040601001208965

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
Teleop+2
+12Endgame
+24Fouls
Autonomouslevel
0Leave6
2Coral scored#1
9Coral points3
9Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +2
11Coral scored#12
38Coral points44
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#1
6Processor points6
8Net points4
14Algae points10
52Total teleop54
Reef
5L4#5
3L3#3
3L2#3
2L1 · trough#2
16Game pieces#15
BargeRed +14
16Cage & park2
16Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +24
12Foul points0
89Total score65

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
61.80.0
57.357.3
Auto13.1
Teleop38.0
End10.8
red by 23.1
5937
#16
38.70.1
38.438.3
Auto2.0
Teleop31.9
End4.9
Second
5588
#24
13.20.0
11.711.7
Auto6.7
Teleop6.3
End0.2
blue by 2.7
8248
#18
15.90.1
14.314.2
Auto4.5
Teleop9.4
End2.1
Third
1294
#23
9.20.0
7.67.6
Auto4.1
Teleop3.5
End1.6
blue by 2.0
4180
#27
11.20.1
14.114.0
Auto4.2
Teleop5.8
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
95%Auto oddsMissed63%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
8%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
40%Barge oddsEarned63%Barge oddsMissed