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Red79
558813.2
293049.7
204651.4
Blue64
593738.7
12949.2
56839.9
97%Model gave it3%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions136390501001502007964

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+24Auto
+15Teleop
+15Endgame
+15Fouls
AutonomousRed +24
0Leave6
7Coral scored#1
33Coral points3
33Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +9
8Coral scored#10
30Coral points35
1Processor algae#1
1Net algae#2
6Processor points6
4Net points8
10Algae points14
40Total teleop49
Reef
6L4#4
3L3#3
4L2#2
2L1 · trough#2
17Game pieces#14
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +15
2Foul points2
79Total score64

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
51.42.6
50.247.6
Auto14.2
Teleop35.2
End1.9
red by 12.6
5937
#16
38.70.2
38.338.5
Auto2.0
Teleop31.9
End4.9
Second
49.72.6
48.445.8
Auto17.0
Teleop26.2
End6.5
red by 39.8
5683
#22
9.90.2
7.57.7
Auto2.6
Teleop8.0
End-0.7
Third
5588
#24
13.22.6
11.79.1
Auto6.7
Teleop6.3
End0.2
red by 4.0
1294
#23
9.20.2
7.67.8
Auto4.1
Teleop3.5
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
93%Auto oddsEarned67%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
14%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
40%Barge oddsMissed25%Barge oddsMissed