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Red75
321917.4
446948.5
298010.9
Blue40
378625.4
418011.2
746110.0
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions90390501001502007540

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+4Auto
+33Teleop
+35Endgame
+35Fouls
AutonomousRed +4
3Leave3
3Coral scored#3
17Coral points13
20Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +29
11Coral scored#5
39Coral points18
0Processor algae#0
3Net algae#1
0Processor points0
12Net points4
12Algae points4
51Total teleop22
Reef
5L4#3
3L3#3
4L2#1
2L1 · trough#1
17Game pieces#9
BargeRed +2
4Cage & park2
4Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +35
0Foul points0
75Total score40

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4469
#13
48.50.3
47.847.5
Auto12.8
Teleop34.6
End1.1
red by 23.2
3786
#19
25.40.6
24.624.0
Auto5.6
Teleop18.0
End1.7
Second
3219
#21
17.40.3
18.718.4
Auto5.3
Teleop8.4
End3.6
red by 6.2
4180
#27
11.20.6
14.013.4
Auto4.2
Teleop5.8
End1.1
Third
2980
#26
10.90.3
12.912.6
Auto3.0
Teleop6.9
End1.0
red by 0.9
7461
#14
10.00.6
10.29.6
Auto4.5
Teleop5.2
End0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
69%Auto oddsMissed44%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed2%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
37%Barge oddsMissed9%Barge oddsMissed