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Red130
903639.5
252240.7
805127.3
Blue119
36054.3
824815.9
241261.8
17%Model gave it83%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions104140050150200130119

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+4
Teleop+15
Endgame+5
+11Fouls
AutonomousBlue +4
6Leave3
7Coral scored#8
34Coral points41
40Total auto44
TeleoperatedBlue +11
12Coral scored#10
42Coral points37
2Processor algae#2
1Net algae#5
12Processor points12
4Net points20
16Algae points32
58Total teleop69
Reef
8L4#4
4L3#5
4L2#5
3L1 · trough#4
22Game pieces#25
BargeRed +10
16Cage & park6
16Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +11
16Foul points0
130Total score119

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2522
#12
40.70.9
36.437.3
Auto12.0
Teleop23.8
End4.9
blue by 21.1
61.80.7
57.356.6
Auto13.1
Teleop38.0
End10.8
Second
39.50.9
35.936.8
Auto4.9
Teleop33.1
End1.6
blue by 14.8
360
#17
54.30.7
52.251.5
Auto16.1
Teleop35.5
End2.7
Third
8051
#10
27.30.9
23.424.2
Auto7.9
Teleop14.8
End4.6
red by 11.4
8248
#18
15.90.7
14.213.5
Auto4.5
Teleop9.4
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
81%Auto oddsEarned85%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
13%Coral oddsMissed27%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
66%Barge oddsEarned79%Barge oddsMissed