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Red129
902358.7
94827.0
593738.7
Blue155
491553.1
451256.4
293049.7
29%Model gave it71%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13316250100150200250129155

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+32
Teleop+12
Endgame+24
Fouls+26
AutonomousBlue +32
6Leave6
3Coral scored#9
13Coral points45
19Total auto51
TeleoperatedRed +20
22Coral scored#16
80Coral points56
0Processor algae#2
4Net algae#2
0Processor points12
16Net points8
16Algae points20
96Total teleop76
Reef
7L4#8
8L3#10
5L2#4
5L1 · trough#3
29Game pieces#29
BargeBlue +12
14Cage & park26
14Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +26
0Foul points2
129Total score155

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
58.70.6
57.958.4
Auto15.2
Teleop41.8
End1.7
red by 2.3
56.40.4
52.753.1
Auto18.1
Teleop37.4
End0.9
Second
5937
#16
38.70.6
38.539.1
Auto2.0
Teleop31.9
End4.9
blue by 14.4
53.10.4
48.448.8
Auto15.8
Teleop30.0
End7.3
Third
948
#6
27.00.6
24.124.7
Auto5.3
Teleop19.5
End2.2
blue by 22.7
49.70.4
45.846.2
Auto17.0
Teleop26.2
End6.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
86%Auto oddsEarned95%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
34%Coral oddsMissed52%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
65%Barge oddsEarned67%Barge oddsEarned