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Red76
94917.8
378625.4
321917.4
Blue89
446948.5
558813.2
198326.4
17%Model gave it83%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions419501502007689

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
Teleop+23
Endgame+19
Fouls+13
AutonomousBlue +7
9Leave9
1Coral scored#3
7Coral points14
16Total auto23
TeleoperatedBlue +16
10Coral scored#13
36Coral points46
1Processor algae#2
2Net algae#2
6Processor points12
8Net points8
14Algae points20
50Total teleop66
Reef
5L4#6
2L3#4
3L2#4
1L1 · trough#2
14Game pieces#20
BargeRed +4
4Cage & park0
4Total endgame0
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +13
6Foul points0
76Total score89

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3786
#19
25.41.0
24.025.1
Auto5.6
Teleop18.0
End1.7
blue by 23.2
4469
#13
48.50.2
47.547.7
Auto12.8
Teleop34.6
End1.1
Second
949
#11
17.81.0
8.910.0
Auto2.3
Teleop14.2
End1.3
blue by 8.6
1983
#25
26.40.2
27.527.6
Auto5.1
Teleop22.4
End-1.1
Third
3219
#21
17.41.0
18.419.4
Auto5.3
Teleop8.4
End3.6
red by 4.2
5588
#24
13.20.2
9.19.3
Auto6.7
Teleop6.3
End0.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
37%Auto oddsEarned90%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
1%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
29%Barge oddsMissed9%Barge oddsMissed