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Red155
291087.2
805127.3
357429.8
Blue121
903639.5
252240.7
204651.4
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions15913650100150200155121

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+6
+26Teleop
+34Endgame
+34Fouls
AutonomousBlue +6
6Leave9
4Coral scored#5
21Coral points24
27Total auto33
TeleoperatedRed +32
23Coral scored#15
82Coral points54
2Processor algae#2
5Net algae#4
12Processor points12
20Net points16
32Algae points28
114Total teleop82
Reef
8L4#9
8L3#3
7L2#5
4L1 · trough#3
34Game pieces#26
BargeRed +8
14Cage & park6
14Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +34
0Foul points0
155Total score121

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
87.20.9
90.691.5
Auto22.8
Teleop56.1
End8.2
red by 35.8
51.40.2
47.647.3
Auto14.2
Teleop35.2
End1.9
Second
3574
#15
29.80.9
23.524.5
Auto3.6
Teleop22.3
End3.9
blue by 10.9
2522
#12
40.70.2
37.337.1
Auto12.0
Teleop23.8
End4.9
Third
8051
#10
27.30.9
24.225.2
Auto7.9
Teleop14.8
End4.6
blue by 12.2
39.50.2
36.836.5
Auto4.9
Teleop33.1
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
93%Auto oddsEarned85%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
65%Coral oddsEarned28%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
89%Barge oddsEarned50%Barge oddsMissed