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Red98
56839.9
36054.3
491553.1
Blue32
746110.0
824815.9
298010.9
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions135220501001502002509832

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+27Auto
+64Teleop
+66Endgame
+66Fouls
AutonomousRed +27
9Leave6
5Coral scored#1
27Coral points3
36Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +37
12Coral scored#4
42Coral points15
1Processor algae#0
2Net algae#1
6Processor points0
8Net points4
14Algae points4
56Total teleop19
Reef
8L4#2
3L3#1
3L2#1
3L1 · trough#1
20Game pieces#6
BargeRed +2
6Cage & park4
6Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +66
0Foul points0
98Total score32

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
360
#17
54.30.7
51.550.8
Auto16.1
Teleop35.5
End2.7
red by 38.4
8248
#18
15.90.2
13.513.2
Auto4.5
Teleop9.4
End2.1
Second
53.10.7
48.848.2
Auto15.8
Teleop30.0
End7.3
red by 42.2
2980
#26
10.90.2
12.612.4
Auto3.0
Teleop6.9
End1.0
Third
5683
#22
9.90.7
7.77.0
Auto2.6
Teleop8.0
End-0.7
blue by 0.1
7461
#14
10.00.2
9.69.3
Auto4.5
Teleop5.2
End0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
82%Auto oddsEarned62%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
15%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
28%Barge oddsMissed8%Barge oddsMissed