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Red125
293049.7
593738.7
903639.5
Blue43
198326.4
357429.8
321917.4
92%Model gave it8%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions14361010020025012543

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+21Auto
+68Teleop
+70Endgame
+82Fouls
AutonomousRed +21
3Leave9
5Coral scored#0
27Coral points0
30Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +47
15Coral scored#7
55Coral points26
1Processor algae#0
4Net algae#1
6Processor points0
16Net points4
22Algae points4
77Total teleop30
Reef
7L4#3
6L3#2
3L2#1
4L1 · trough#1
25Game pieces#8
BargeRed +2
6Cage & park4
6Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +82
12Foul points0
125Total score43

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
49.70.6
46.245.6
Auto17.0
Teleop26.2
End6.5
red by 19.9
3574
#15
29.81.9
24.522.6
Auto3.6
Teleop22.3
End3.9
Second
39.50.6
36.535.9
Auto4.9
Teleop33.1
End1.6
red by 13.1
1983
#25
26.41.9
27.625.7
Auto5.1
Teleop22.4
End-1.1
Third
5937
#16
38.70.6
39.138.5
Auto2.0
Teleop31.9
End4.9
red by 21.4
3219
#21
17.41.9
19.417.5
Auto5.3
Teleop8.4
End3.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
67%Auto oddsEarned50%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
21%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
80%Barge oddsMissed37%Barge oddsMissed