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Red151
94917.8
241261.8
94827.0
Blue110
902358.7
418011.2
446948.5
27%Model gave it73%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions93140050200250300151110

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+14
+27Teleop
+41Endgame
+41Fouls
AutonomousBlue +14
9Leave3
3Coral scored#7
14Coral points34
23Total auto37
TeleoperatedRed +41
22Coral scored#14
78Coral points49
3Processor algae#1
4Net algae#4
18Processor points6
16Net points16
34Algae points22
112Total teleop71
Reef
7L4#9
9L3#5
5L2#5
4L1 · trough#2
32Game pieces#26
BargeRed +14
16Cage & park2
16Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +41
0Foul points0
151Total score110

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
61.83.5
57.260.8
Auto13.1
Teleop38.0
End10.8
red by 3.2
58.71.0
59.058.0
Auto15.2
Teleop41.8
End1.7
Second
948
#6
27.03.5
24.728.2
Auto5.3
Teleop19.5
End2.2
blue by 21.6
4469
#13
48.51.0
47.746.7
Auto12.8
Teleop34.6
End1.1
Third
949
#11
17.83.5
10.013.5
Auto2.3
Teleop14.2
End1.3
red by 6.6
4180
#27
11.21.0
13.212.2
Auto4.2
Teleop5.8
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
76%Auto oddsEarned87%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
9%Coral oddsMissed25%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
59%Barge oddsEarned37%Barge oddsMissed