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Red177
451256.4
12949.2
291087.2
Blue130
252240.7
298010.9
36054.3
92%Model gave it8%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions180105050150200250300177130

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
+49Teleop
+47Endgame
+47Fouls
AutonomousRed +3
6Leave9
5Coral scored#4
27Coral points21
33Total auto30
TeleoperatedRed +46
25Coral scored#15
90Coral points54
2Processor algae#3
7Net algae#3
12Processor points18
28Net points12
40Algae points30
130Total teleop84
Reef
12L4#7
8L3#5
6L2#5
4L1 · trough#2
39Game pieces#25
BargeBlue +2
14Cage & park16
14Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +47
0Foul points0
177Total score130

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
87.20.9
91.592.4
Auto22.8
Teleop56.1
End8.2
red by 32.9
360
#17
54.31.2
50.852.1
Auto16.1
Teleop35.5
End2.7
Second
56.40.9
53.754.6
Auto18.1
Teleop37.4
End0.9
red by 15.7
2522
#12
40.71.2
37.138.3
Auto12.0
Teleop23.8
End4.9
Third
1294
#23
9.20.9
7.68.4
Auto4.1
Teleop3.5
End1.6
blue by 1.7
2980
#26
10.91.2
12.413.6
Auto3.0
Teleop6.9
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
94%Auto oddsEarned55%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
79%Coral oddsEarned14%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
68%Barge oddsEarned27%Barge oddsEarned