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Red75
746110.0
56839.9
378625.4
Blue61
558813.2
469231.7
805127.3
32%Model gave it68%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions36660501001502007561

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
Teleop+14
Endgame+10
+14Fouls
AutonomousBlue +7
3Leave0
3Coral scored#5
13Coral points23
16Total auto23
TeleoperatedBlue +7
6Coral scored#8
23Coral points28
0Processor algae#1
2Net algae#1
0Processor points6
8Net points4
8Algae points10
31Total teleop38
Reef
4L4#5
2L3#3
2L2#3
1L1 · trough#2
11Game pieces#15
BargeRed +4
4Cage & park0
4Total endgame0
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +14
24Foul points0
75Total score61

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3786
#19
25.40.5
25.125.5
Auto5.6
Teleop18.0
End1.7
blue by 6.3
4692
#20
31.70.3
27.427.2
Auto6.8
Teleop24.3
End0.5
Second
7461
#14
10.00.5
9.39.8
Auto4.5
Teleop5.2
End0.3
blue by 17.3
8051
#10
27.30.3
25.224.9
Auto7.9
Teleop14.8
End4.6
Third
5683
#22
9.90.5
7.07.5
Auto2.6
Teleop8.0
End-0.7
blue by 3.3
5588
#24
13.20.3
9.39.0
Auto6.7
Teleop6.3
End0.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
66%Auto oddsEarned90%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
2%Coral oddsMissed1%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
4%Barge oddsEarned15%Barge oddsMissed