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Red117
204651.4
491553.1
418011.2
Blue102
198326.4
902358.7
824815.9
62%Model gave it38%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions125103050150200250117102

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+3Teleop
+17Endgame
+15Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
9Leave6
6Coral scored#5
28Coral points24
37Total auto30
TeleoperatedBlue +4
10Coral scored#14
36Coral points50
2Processor algae#1
4Net algae#3
12Processor points6
16Net points12
28Algae points18
64Total teleop68
Reef
5L4#7
6L3#6
2L2#3
3L1 · trough#3
22Game pieces#23
BargeRed +14
16Cage & park2
16Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +15
0Foul points2
117Total score102

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
53.10.6
48.248.8
Auto15.8
Teleop30.0
End7.3
blue by 5.6
58.70.2
58.058.2
Auto15.2
Teleop41.8
End1.7
Second
51.40.6
47.347.9
Auto14.2
Teleop35.2
End1.9
red by 25.0
1983
#25
26.40.2
25.725.9
Auto5.1
Teleop22.4
End-1.1
Third
4180
#27
11.20.6
12.212.8
Auto4.2
Teleop5.8
End1.1
blue by 4.7
8248
#18
15.90.2
13.213.4
Auto4.5
Teleop9.4
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
86%Auto oddsEarned88%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
13%Coral oddsMissed15%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
27%Barge oddsEarned28%Barge oddsMissed